The Ecological Society of America on Wednesday awards. , a 91̽�� assistant professor of environmental and forest science, was named an Early Career Fellow, which recognizes scientists for contributions to advancing and applying ecological knowledge within eight years of completing a doctorate.

Willing studies how microbes respond, and help plants cope with, environmental change. focuses on fungi and other microbes living near plant roots. Much like the gut microbiome, these communities play a critical role in plant nutrition, immune function and overall forest health.

Willing’s lab focuses on understanding these communities and how they are shifting with climate change. Her research integrates methods from various scientific disciplines to gain insight into the ecosystem-wide impact of fungi.

“I work across pretty diverse fields, from fungal ecology to plant and forest ecology,” Willing said. “Integrating everything together is challenging, but I think it’s a critical intersection to study right now and this award is a nice acknowledgement of that.”

As a Faculty Fellow, Willing also collaborates with federal, state and tribal agencies to incorporate fungi into climate adaptation planning.

Many of her lab’s projects examine responses to climate change. For example, one of Willing’s current grad students is studying fungi in post-fire ecosystems.

Some fungal groups are fire-adapted, meaning that they can withstand wildfire better than others. After wildfire, the soil often becomes hydrophobic, which causes water to run off the surface instead of soaking in. This increases the risk of erosion, among other consequences. Fungi help seedlings to establish and stabilize the soil by helping it retain water.

Early findings from her lab indicate that prolonged fire suppression, a stewardship strategy intended to minimize wildfire impacts, can limit microorganisms fire tolerance, which then exacerbates the damage caused by a fire.

“There are lots of different nuances that we’re really just starting to understand,” Willing said.

She hopes this work can help inform future forest management practices. Although there are many mushroom enthusiasts in the Pacific Northwest, Willing is one of few scientists in the region studying how these organisms fold into broader ecosystems.

Most of the data on microbial communities was collected within the past 20 years or so, which makes it difficult to gauge how these organisms are responding to climate change. Another project in Willing’s lab involves conducting genetic analyses on preserved plant specimens to establish a baseline for fungal health.

“Our understanding of what fungal and bacterial communities were like before the onset of rapid warming is really limited,” Willing said.

Building this baseline will help researchers see how microbial communities are evolving and reveal management opportunities.

Without fungi, life on Earth couldn’t exist as we know it. Dead logs and fallen leaves would simply accumulate, with nothing to break them down and return their nutrients to the soil.

“Fungi are involved in everything,” Willing said. “In the cycle of life, they are at the beginning, helping plants to take root across every ecosystem on Earth, and at the end, helping to create lush soils for future life to flourish.”

ESA will acknowledge and celebrate fellows during a ceremony on July 27 at the annual meeting in Salt Lake City. Early Career Fellows are elected for five years.

For more information about her work, contact Willing at willingc@uw.edu.

Unfortunately for science fiction fans, desert worlds outside our solar system are unlikely to host life, according to new research from 91̽��. Scientists show that an Earth-sized planet needs at least 20 to 50% of the water in Earth’s oceans to maintain a critical natural cycle that keeps water on the surface.

Scientists believe that there are billions of planets outside our solar system. More than are confirmed, but only some of them are candidates for life. The search for life has focused on planets in the “,” a sweet spot that is neither too close nor too far from a central star. Planets in this zone are considered viable because they can maintain liquid surface water.

“When you are searching for life in the broad landscape of the universe with limited resources, you have to filter out some planets,” said lead author , a 91̽��doctoral student of Earth and space sciences.

Water, although essential, does not guarantee the existence of life. With this study, researchers worked to further narrow the search by investigating planets with just a small amount of water.

“We were interested in arid planets with very limited surface water inventory — far less than one Earth ocean. Many of these planets are in the habitable zone of their star, but we weren’t sure if they could actually be habitable,” White-Gianella said.

The team’s results, , show that habitability hinges on the geologic carbon cycle — a water-driven process that exchanges carbon between the atmosphere and interior over millions of years, stabilizing surface temperatures.

Carbon dioxide, which comes from volcanoes in a natural system, accumulates in the atmosphere before falling back to Earth dissolved in rainwater. Rain erodes and chemically reacts with rocks on the Earth’s surface and runoff transports carbon to the ocean, where it sinks to the seafloor. Plate tectonics drives carbon-rich oceanic plates below continental land. Millions of years later, carbon resurfaces as mountains form.

If water levels drop too low for rainfall, carbon removal — from weathering — can’t keep up with emissions from volcanic eruptions and carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere spike, trapping water. Rising temperatures evaporate the remaining surface water, initiating runaway warming that makes the planet too hot to support life.

“So that unfortunately makes these arid planets within habitable zones unlikely to be good candidates for life,” White-Gianella said.

Although scientists have instruments that can measure surface water, rocky exoplanets are difficult to observe directly. In this study, the researchers ran a series of complex simulations to better understand how water might behave in these desert worlds.

Previous efforts to model the carbon cycle focused on cooler, perhaps wetter planets. The models factored in evaporation from sunlight, but didn’t include other drivers, such as wind. White-Gianella adapted existing models to drier planets by refining evaporation and precipitation estimates.

“These sophisticated, mechanistic models of the carbon cycle have emerged from people trying to understand how Earth’s thermostat has worked — or hasn’t — to regulate temperature through time,” said senior author , a 91̽��assistant professor of Earth and space sciences.

However, the function of the geologic carbon cycle on arid planets was largely unexplored. The results show that even planets that form with surface water could lose it, transitioning from potentially habitable to uninhabitable due to carbon cycle disruption.

One such planet exists far closer to home: Venus. The planet of love is roughly the same size as Earth, likely formed around the same time and may have started with a similar amount of water.

Yet today, the surface of Venus rivals the temperature of a wood-fired pizza oven. Standing on the surface would feel like being crushed by 10 blue whales, White-Gianella said.

Many theories attempt to explain why Earth and Venus are so different. White-Gianella and Krissanen-Totton propose that Venus, being closer to the sun, may have formed with slightly less water than Earth, which imbalanced the geologic carbon cycle. As surface temperatures rose with atmospheric carbon dioxide levels, Venus lost its water — and any life it may have hosted.

Upcoming missions to Venus will attempt to understand what happened to the planet and whether it ever hosted life. The findings could also offer insight into planets much farther away.

“It’s very unlikely that we will land something on the surface of an exoplanet in our lifetime, but Venus — our nextdoor neighbor — is arguably the best exoplanet analog,” White-Gianella said.

The researchers hope that results from future missions will help validate the results of their modeling.

“This has implications for a lot of the potentially habitable real estate out there,” Krissanen-Totton said.

This study was funded by the National Science Foundation, the NASA Astrobiology Program and the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation.

For more information, contact White-Gianella at hasktw@uw.edu or Krissanen-Totton at joshkt@uw.edu.��

New evidence suggests that a disease-causing tapeworm that has been spreading across the United States and Canada has arrived in the Pacific Northwest. The tapeworm, called Echinococcus multilocularis, lives as a parasite in coyotes, foxes and other canid species and can cause severe disease if passed to domestic dogs or humans.

E. multilocularis has long been recognized as a public health threat in parts of the Northern hemisphere, including Europe and Asia, but was considered extremely rare in North America until approximately 15 years ago, when cases in humans and dogs began cropping up in Canada and the midwestern U.S., indicating that the parasite was spreading.

This study, led by 91̽�� researchers, is the first to detect E. multilocularis in a wild host on the west coast of the contiguous U.S. Researchers surveyed 100 coyotes in the Puget Sound region, and found E. multilocularis in 37 of them. The results were .

“This parasite is concerning because it has been spreading across North America. There have been numerous cases of dogs getting sick, and a handful of people have also picked up the tapeworm,” said lead author , who recently graduated from the 91̽��with a doctorate in environmental and forest science. “The fact that we found it here in one-third of our coyotes was surprising, because it wasn’t found anywhere in the Pacific Northwest until earlier this year.”

When E. multilocularis infects an animal or person, it causes cancer-like cysts to form in the liver and sometimes other organs. If untreated, infection can be fatal.

However, not all carriers become sick. E. multilocularis has a complex life cycle that involves multiple hosts. Canids, which host adult parasites, can support thousands of worms in their intestines without becoming sick. The worms shed eggs that are then passed in their feces.

Rodents — another host — become infected by eating food contaminated with coyote feces. Once consumed, the parasite eggs migrate to the liver and form cysts, ultimately weakening or killing the rodents. The parasite’s life cycle begins again when coyotes prey upon infected rodents.

Humans and domestic dogs are categorized as accidental hosts. Humans may pick up the parasite by consuming tapeworm eggs — in food that is contaminated with coyote or dog feces, for example — and can develop a disease called , characterized by slow-growing metastatic cysts. Symptoms may not appear for five to 15 years after exposure, which complicates diagnosis and treatment.

Alveolar echinococcosis is considered the third most important food-borne illness globally, and one of the top 20 neglected tropical diseases by the World Health Organization. Many countries have developed robust protocols for tracking it.

Domestic dogs that are exposed to E. multilocularis may or may not become sick, depending on where the parasite is in its life cycle at exposure. It is more common for dogs to carry the parasite and shed eggs without developing disease, but dogs that are exposed to parasite eggs may develop the same cancer-like cysts as other infected animals.

“To minimize the risk of dogs getting infected with E. multilocularis, owners should not let them prey on rodents or scavenge their carcasses,” said co-author , an associate professor and director of the Parasitology Diagnostic Laboratory at the Texas A&M University College of Veterinary Medicine and Biomedical Sciences.

Owners can also give dogs preventative medication for worms and ticks and ensure routine veterinary care, which should include diagnostic tests for parasites, Verocai said.

Although the researchers found E. multilocularis in more than one-third of local coyotes tested, there is little evidence of the infection spreading to other hosts. One study in Washington, Oregon and Idaho since 2023, five of which were in Washington. Few human cases have been reported in the U.S., and none on the West Coast.

“The reason that it’s so high in coyotes is because they are regularly eating raw rodents, and that is the primary way for them to get infected. Most domestic dogs are not eating the raw livers of wild rodents,” Hentati said.

Before the uptick in the 2010s, there were several reports of E. multilocularis on remote islands in northwestern Alaska. Those cases were caused by a parasite with different origins than the current outbreak. Genetic analysis pins the earlier cases to a tundra variant while these recent cases are driven by a more infectious variant with European origins. The coyotes in this study carried the newer variant, now thought to be the predominant variant in the U.S. and Canada.

Neither Canada nor the U.S. require dogs to undergo deworming upon arrival, which may explain the spread. Previous studies also proposed that E. multilocularis could have come over in red foxes imported for hunting 100 years ago, but no one knows for sure.

“The main takeaway is that Echinococcus multilocularis is here, it’s pretty prevalent in the local coyote population and people should be aware of potential risks,” Hentati said.

Co-authors include , lab manager at UW; , 91̽��doctoral graduate in environmental and forest science; , a 91̽��professor of environmental and forest science; , a 91̽��associate professor of aquatic and fishery science; of the College of William and Mary; Erika Miller of Sound Data Management; of DePaul University; and of UC Berkeley. This study was funded by The National Science Foundation and the 91̽�� Hall Conservation Genetics Fund.

For more information, contact Hentati at yhentati26@gmail.com.

Nautilus and Allonautilus cephalopods and their extinct ancestors have been drifting through of the ocean for more than 500 million years. Researchers have spent the last 40 years trying to understand how these mysterious “living fossils” thrive in areas with limited nutrients. published in Scientific Reports, a UW-led team documented new habits and habitats for current Nautilus and Allonautilus species. These creatures appear to live in deeper water than their extinct cousins did, and the younger ones live twice as deep as the fully mature adults. Nautilus and Allonautilus species scavenge their food and never stop moving. While a few species migrate hundreds of meters down at dawn and then back up at dusk every day, the team found that most species aren’t quite as intrepid. The researchers also describe a new population of Allonautilus in waters off the island , one of several populations thriving due to hunting restrictions inspired in part by research efforts from this team.

For more information, contact senior author , 91̽��professor of both biology and Earth and space sciences, at argo@uw.edu.

Other 91̽��co-authors are , and . A full list of co-authors and funding is included

Green clay tennis courts become carbon negative after 10 years

The United States has around a quarter of a million tennis courts, 40,000 of which are helping mitigate greenhouse gas emissions. Green clay tennis courts, an alternative to traditional hard courts and the red clay courts popular in Europe, are constructed with a type of rock that reacts with carbon dioxide and water to sequester carbon as a stable dissolved salt. In , 91̽��researchers show that in the U.S., green clay courts remove 25,000 metric tons of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere each year and 80% of green clay courts make up for construction emissions within 10 years. Moving forward, the researchers hope to experiment with other materials that also remove carbon dioxide without compromising performance for players.

For more information contact lead author , 91̽��assistant professor of oceanography, at fjpavia@uw.edu.

A full list of co-authors and funding is available .

Temperature dynamics, not just extremes, impact heat tolerance in mussels

Intertidal mussels, forming bumpy layers on shoreline rocks, withstand significant temperature swings as the tide ebbs and flows. These creatures live in one of the most thermally variable environments on Earth, but a new study shows that the rate, timing and duration of heating and cooling impact their metabolic rate, a proxy for overall health. At the UW’s , researchers exposed mussels to temperature regimens with equal highs and lows but different patterns of change. Even when the average temperature for a set period was the same, the mussels’ response was distinct. These results, , show that predicting how marine organisms respond to climate change means considering how temperature changes over time, not just how warm it gets.

For more information, contact lead author , assistant professor of biology at the College of the Holy Cross and a mentor for the 91̽��Friday Harbor Laboratories , at mnishizaki@holycross.edu.

The other 91̽��co-author is . A full list of co-authors and funding is available .

When algae stop growing, bacteria start swarming

Tiny geometric algae, called , produce nearly a quarter of the world’s organic matter by photosynthesis. In the microscopic marine universe, diatoms coexist with both harmful and helpful bacteria. A new study, , describes how a recently identified species of marine bacteria targets diatoms based on growth phase and nutrient availability. Growing diatoms can resist bacterial attacks, but when growth ceases, the bacteria modulate their gene expression patterns to become aggressive — first swimming and releasing compounds that damage the diatom and then clustering around them to feed. Bacteria can also overcome the diatom’s defenses in nutrient-rich environments. These findings highlight the dynamic relationship between bacteria and algae in the lab. Moving forward, researchers will explore what, if anything, changes in a more complex environment.

For more information, contact lead author , 91̽��postdoctoral fellow in oceanography, at dawiener5@gmail.com.

Other 91̽��co-authors are and . A full list of co-authors and funding is available .

Humans look to nature for sustenance and nourishment — food, water, energy, transportation, culture, tradition, adventure and so on. With the population of the United States now exceeding 340 million, humans are demanding more of the natural world than ever before. To understand the consequences, researchers set an ambitious goal: a wellness check on nature.

Nature is a sweeping category that includes everything from massive mountains to tiny urban gardens. Its health can’t be summarized in just a few words. In fact, it took researchers 868 pages, split into 13 chapters, to report the condition of lands, waters, wildlife, and biodiversity and describe links to human health and safety, culture, economy, and national security.

The new report, , is available for public comment and scientific review until May 30.

“The Nature Record tells an honest story,”  said , director of The Nature Record and interim executive director of the UW’s EarthLab. “It does not shy away from the scale of change we are seeing in nature — but it also shows that our choices matter, and that there are real, tangible ways to restore and sustain the systems we depend on.”

The preliminary findings are a mixed bag. On one hand, the report details a long history of resource extraction and habitat loss that will be difficult to reverse. At the same time, it shows how restoration and Indigenous stewardship approaches can help turn things around.

For example, the report states that approximately 50% of U.S. land is used for agriculture. This means farmers and ranchers must be involved in efforts to protect ecosystems and preserve biodiversity, Levin said.

The U.S. has millions of miles of rivers, which are fragmented by tens of thousands of large dams and as many as 2 million small dams and culverts.

Damming rivers disrupts fish migration and degrades ecosystem health. Ecological concerns have spurred hundreds of dam removals in the past decade, after which rivers quickly rebounded. In some places, fish have returned to spawning grounds that were inaccessible for generations.

“The assessment documents many examples where ecosystems and communities are recovering together,” Levin said. “These success stories show that change is possible when science, policy and communities align.”

The project began in 2022 following an executive order calling for an assessment of nature. Levin, selected to lead the effort, assembled a national team of experts to work on what was then called the National Nature Assessment.

Then, in January 2025, just weeks before the team was due to deliver a first draft, the effort came to a screeching halt when the federal government canceled the effort.

Undeterred, the team, including more than 170 scientists and experts, decided to continue working independently. They published a draft of The Nature Record in March.

“We built this to be useful,” Levin said. “And the only way it becomes truly useful is if people engage with it — question it, add to it, and help shape what comes next.”

He encourages people of all backgrounds to engage with the report and share feedback on the clarity, relevance and thoroughness, including representation of diverse perspectives.

In addition to documenting how humans are changing nature, the record provides important insights into how nature influences quality of life. Access to nature varies widely across the U.S. — the benefits of nature are not equally shared, nor is the burden of going without. Social and historical factors often determine whether communities enjoy greenspaces and clean drinking water, among other essentials.

“This assessment reflects not just the state of nature, but the relationships people have with it,” said deputy director , principal research scientist at the UW’s EarthLab. “We want people to see themselves in this work — whether through their communities, their values, or the places they care about — and to help shape how it evolves.”

For more information, contact Levin at pslevin@uw.edu.

Plowing, or tilling, is an age-old agricultural practice that readies the soil for planting by turning over the top layer to expose fresh earth. The method — intended to improve water and nutrient circulation — remains popular today, but concerns about soil degradation have prompted some to return to regenerative methods that disturb the soil less.

In a new study, a team led by 91̽�� researchers examined the impact of tilling on soil moisture and water retention using methods originally designed for monitoring earthquakes. Researchers placed fiber optic cables alongside fields at an experimental farm in the United Kingdom and recorded ground motion from plots receiving different amounts of tillage and compaction from tractor tires pulling farm equipment.

The study, , shows that tilling and compaction disrupt intricate capillary networks within the soil that give it a natural sponge-like quality.

“This study offers a clear explanation for why the process of tillage, one of humanity’s oldest agricultural activities, changes the structure of soil in ways that affect how it soaks up water,” said co-author , a 91̽��professor of Earth and space sciences.

The link between tilling and soil degradation has been established for quite some time, but the rationale is less robust.

“It’s counterintuitive,” Montgomery said.

Tilling is supposed to create holes for water to reach the roots of plants, but it breaks these small channels in the soil instead, causing rain to pool on the surface and form a muddy crust. Over time, this can increase erosion and flood risk. The researchers observed this phenomenon in detail using seismological methods.

For the past decade or so, physical scientists have been exploring ways to harness the fiber optic cable network to make remote observations. They use a technique called distributed acoustic sensing, or DAS, that records ground motion based on cable strain. Because the technology is so sensitive, it can also capture the speed at which sound waves pass through a substance, which is called seismic velocity.

When soil gets wet, seismic velocity changes. Sound moves slower through mud than dry dirt.

“We wanted to find out whether seismic tools could be used to understand how soil — under different treatment regimens — would respond to environmental variability,” said senior author , a 91̽��associate professor of Earth and space sciences.

An experimental farm near Newport in the United Kingdom, affiliated with Harper Adams University, turned out to be an ideal testing ground for their experiment.

The farm is split into rows that have received consistent cultivation for more than two decades.

There are no-till rows, rows tilled 10 centimeters deep and rows tilled 25 centimeters. Compaction is a byproduct of tilling caused by tractors. Different levels of compaction were tested by modulating tractor tire pressure.

“We took advantage of a natural experiment that had already been done, but just not yet measured,” Montgomery said.

The researchers lined their experimental plots with a fiber optic cable. They collected continuous ground motion data for 40 hours and combined it with weather data over the same period, which featured light to moderate rainfall and mild temperatures.

“We observed the natural vibration of the ground and found that it is really sensitive to environmental factors, including precipitation,” said , lead author and former 91̽��postdoctoral researcher of Earth and space sciences, now at the Chinese Academy of Sciences.

They determined how each cultivation strategy impacted the soil’s response to rainfall by comparing trends in seismic velocity across study sites. Shi developed various models to process the data and help the researchers understand seismic velocity in terms of soil moisture.

The method is straightforward, inexpensive and offers far better spatial and temporal resolution than previous monitoring tools.

The researchers believe it could help farmers understand how to manage their land, provide real time flooding alerts, improve earth systems models by refining estimates of atmospheric water content and better inform seismic hazard maps with data on liquefaction risk.

Additional co-authors include , a 91̽��professor of atmospheric and climate science, , a 91̽��research assistant professor of civil and environmental engineering, from the University of California Santa Cruz, formerly at Purdue University, , , and from Harper Adams University, from the University of Exeter 

This study was funded by The Pan Family Fund, the Murdock Charitable Trust, the 91̽��College of the Environment Seed Fund, the David and Lucile Packard Foundation, and a National Environmental Research Council cross-disciplinary research capability grant.��

For more information, contact Denolle at mdenolle@uw.edu.��

Stark black against an open sky, common ravens are often spotted soaring above wolves in Yellowstone National Park. Researchers assumed that the notorious scavengers were following the wolves to get their scraps, but new research reveals a twist: Ravens don’t follow wolves, they remember common hunting grounds and regularly check back for fresh meat.

When food is easy to find, animals save energy by memorizing the path to retrieving it. Because scavengers rely on other animals to eat, their meals are less predictable. Some scavengers contend with this insecurity by tailing predators, but as this study shows, ravens don’t. Researchers tracked 69 ravens and 20 wolves across Yellowstone National Park for two and a half years and found that the ravens knew where to go without cues from the wolves.

“Scavengers are not quite as glorious as predators, and have traditionally been understudied by comparison. Getting a better understanding from the scavengers’ viewpoint might give us insight into sensory abilities, underappreciated environmental cues and spatial and temporal memory,” said , a 91̽�� professor emeritus of environmental and forest sciences and the study’s senior author.

March 12 in Science.

Ravens and wolves pick at the scraps of a wolf kill in Yellowstone National Park. Credit: Bob Landis

The mutualistic relationship between ravens and wolves has fascinated humans for centuries. According to Norse mythology, the god Odin created two ravens — — to travel the world gathering intelligence for him. Odin sent his two wolves, , with the ravens to ensure they remained fed.

“This tight coevolutionary relationship between predator and scavenger has persisted in human thought for millennia,” Marzluff said.

Modern scientific research documents a similar relationship between the two species. Ravens have been known to follow wolf tracks through the snow and respond to howls. After wolves were reintroduced to Yellowstone National Park in 1995, ravens were a wolf than anywhere else in the park. The odds of seeing a raven further increase when wolves are hunting.

Marzluff, who is well known for studying crows and ravens, teamed up with lead author , an assistant professor at the University of Veterinary Medicine Vienna then the Max Planck Institute of Animal Behavior, to study how ravens track wolves so well.

The wolves in Yellowstone are already closely monitored, but the researchers needed data on the ravens to compare. Over a few months, Marzluff and Loretto trapped 69 ravens and outfitted them with small GPS trackers. For two and a half years, the researchers monitored where the ravens and wolves went, which routes they took and when their paths crossed.

They only documented one instance of a raven following a wolf for an extended period, yet overall, ravens still managed to arrive promptly after the wolves made a kill. Ravens were spotted at nearly half the observed wolf kills within seven days and some flew more than 150 kilometers to reach a kill. Their flight patterns also suggested that the ravens were making a beeline instead of conducting a sweep.

Ravens were also far more likely to visit areas where wolf kills were more frequent, per the researchers’ “carcass abundance map,” which split the territory into nine square kilometer parcels and plotted kill sites.

The authors propose that ravens rely on spatial memory — the brain’s ability to follow directions — to monitor the wolves’ favorite hunting grounds. Their hypothesis is further supported by data showing that ravens fly over common kill sites en route to other food sources, including areas where humans hunt wild game.

“We already knew that ravens can remember stable food sources, like landfills,” Loretto said. “What surprised us is that they also seem to learn in which areas wolf kills are more common. A single kill is unpredictable, but over time some parts of the landscape are more productive than others — and ravens appear to use that pattern to their advantage.”

Additional co-authors include and from the Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre; , and Lauren Walker from National Park Service and and from ​​Max Planck Institute of Animal Behavior.

This study was funded by the European Union, the National Geographic Society, the German Research Foundation, the James W. Ridgeway endowment to the School of Environmental and Forest Sciences at the 91̽�� and Yellowstone Forever.

For more information, contact Marzluff at corvid@uw.edu or Loretto at  matthias.loretto@vetmeduni.ac.at.

This story was adapted from by Max Planck Institute for Animal Behavior.

The Cascadia Subduction Zone is unusually quiet for a megathrust fault. Spanning more than 600 miles from Canada to California, the fault marks the convergence of the Juan de Fuca and North American plates. While other subduction zones produce sporadic rumblings as the plates scrape past each other, Cascadia , fueling assumptions that the plates are locked together by friction.

The subduction zone — miles offshore and deep underwater — is difficult to observe. Most data collection is based onshore, which limits the breadth and quality of results. The lack of earthquakes further complicates efforts to understand its behavior and structure.

In a new study, the first to monitor strain offshore for an extended period of time, 91̽�� researchers report that the plates may not be fully locked. Based on 13 years of ground motion data from sensors in different regions, the study shows the northern portion of the fault is locked and quiet, but the central region appears to be more active. There, researchers observed signs of a shallow, slow-motion earthquake and detected pulses of fluid flowing through subterranean channels, which may relieve pressure from the fault.

The findings, , may alter expectations of how this area will respond to a large earthquake. Similar features in other places have stopped a rupture that might have otherwise continued along the entire fault line.

“It’s preliminary, but we think that variable fluid pathways in Cascadia will change the behavior of large earthquakes on the fault,” said co-author , a 91̽��associate professor of Earth and space science.

The Juan de Fuca plate is advancing toward the North American plate at a rate of . But because the plates are stuck together, that motion generates pressure. Eventually, the building tension will exceed what the plates can tolerate. When they eventually slip free, an earthquake will spread along the boundary.

Megathrust earthquakes, which occur at boundaries where one plate slides beneath another, rock the Pacific Northwest every 500 or so years. one to 1700, and estimates suggest a 10 to 15% chance that the entire fault will rupture, producing an earthquake that could exceed magnitude 9, within the next fifty years. The results from this study do not alter those odds, but the dynamics captured might influence the severity of the eventual earthquake.

A recent survey of the seafloor found that into at least four geologically distinct segments. Each one may be insulated from a rupture in another region. In this study, the researchers took a closer look at two of the regions by analyzing data from three monitoring stations, one near Vancouver Island and two off the coast of Oregon.

“We wanted to understand strain changes in different regions offshore,” said lead author , a 91̽��doctoral student of oceanography. “We used the seismometers to measure how the seismic velocity varies underneath each station.”

Seismic velocity is a term used to describe the rate at which ambient noise travels through a material. Because the speed of sound depends on what it is moving through, tracking seismic velocity can give researchers a window into processes occurring beneath the ocean floor.

“When you compact something, you can expect the sound waves to move through it faster,” said Kidiwela.

The steady increase in seismic velocity observed at the northern site told the researchers the rock was compacting, which supports the theory that the two plates are locked in place.

The central region displayed a different pattern. For two months in 2016, seismic velocity decreased. The researchers attribute this drop to a slow-motion earthquake on the shallow edge of the oceanic plate that relieved some of the pressure at the fault.

Other drops in seismic velocity, recorded between 2017 and 2022, were linked to fluid dynamics. Subduction squeezes liquid out of rocks and pushes it toward the surface. The study found that other faults, running perpendicular to the subduction zone, may act as pathways for letting trapped fluid out.

“During a megathrust rupture, one of the ways that an earthquake propagates is through fluid pressure. If you have a way to release these fluids, it could help improve the stability of the fault, and potentially impact how the region behaves during a large earthquake,” Kidiwela said.

Pulling data from just three sites, the researchers observed complex dynamics that may have gone overlooked. Future work will greatly expand this effort. in 2023 to build an underwater observatory in the Cascadia Subduction Zone.

“Finding this link between fluids coming to the shallow subduction zone is pretty unique, as is the evidence that the fault is not completely locked,” said co-author , a 91̽��professor of oceanography and one of the scientists involved with the observatory. “It suggests that we need more instruments there, because there may be more going on than people have been able to figure out before.”

Additional co-authors include from the University of Utah.��

This study was funded by the Jerome M. Paros Endowed Chair in Sensor Networks at the 91̽�� and the National Science Foundation.��

For more information, contact Kidiwela at seismic@uw.edu.

NASA last week that both the 91̽�� STRIVE team and the UW-affiliated EDGE team were selected to lead satellite missions to better understand Earth and improve capabilities to foresee environmental events and mitigate disasters.

STRIVE and EDGE were among four finalists as part of the agency’s Earth System Explorers Program, which conducts principal investigator-led space science missions as recommended by the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine 2017 Decadal Survey for Earth Science and Applications from Space.

The total estimated cost of each mission, not including launch, will not exceed $355 million with a mission launch date of no earlier than 2030, stated NASA.

“This was fantastic news. We have been working on this concept for a few years now, and for many of us it is a dream come true. To be able to observe the atmosphere at this level of detail is a tremendous opportunity,” said , a 91̽��professor of atmospheric and climate science, who is leading the STRIVE mission.

Stratosphere-Troposphere Response using Infrared Vertically-resolved light Explorer

, which stands for Stratosphere-Troposphere Response using Infrared Vertically-resolved light Explorer, will examine the regions of the atmosphere where weather forms and the ozone layer sits, yielding new insights into temperature and trace gases in the atmosphere that affect aviation, long-range transport of volcanic smoke and air pollution.

The STRIVE instruments, compact enough to fit into the trunk of a midsize SUV, can make more than 400,000 observations each day. Instead of looking straight down at the Earth, like other missions, the STRIVE instruments angle sideways towards Earth’s surface to capture the atmosphere in greater detail.

“With these observations, we won’t just get measurements of ozone but rather all the chemical species that affect ozone in the stratosphere,” Jaeglé said.

The ozone layer, which absorbs ultraviolet radiation, after severe depletion in the early 2000s, but still requires careful monitoring.

STRIVE represents a technological and scientific quantum leap that will help researchers understand how air pollution circulates following a wildfire or volcanic eruption, for example. Importantly, STRIVE will also aid weather forecasting efforts beyond the typical 10-day window to give people time to prepare for extreme weather events.

“If we can see something propagating from high up — such as large shifts in winds — then we will know that several weeks later it will impact Earth’s surface. Our current weather models cannot predict this connection very well because we don’t really know what is going on at the interface of the stratosphere and troposphere,” Jaeglé added.

The national-scale team includes partners from academia, industry and federal science labs. at the University of Iowa is the deputy principal investigator of STRIVE, and at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center is the project scientist. Several NASA Goddard scientists are also involved. Other 91̽��members of STRIVE are professor , assistant professor and affiliate faculty member , all in the 91̽��Department of Atmospheric and Climate Science.

The Earth Dynamics Geodetic Explorer 

, or Earth Dynamics Geodetic Explorer, uses lasers to observe the three dimensional structure of Earth’s surface — including forests, glaciers, ice sheets and sea ice — as it changes. , a senior principal physicist and , a senior research scientist both at the 91̽�� and , a 91̽��associate professor of civil and environmental engineering, are part of the EDGE team, led by from Scripps Institution of Oceanography at the University of California San Diego.

EDGE will be the first global satellite imaging laser altimeter system, according to . The system captures surface detail in high resolution by firing laser pulses at the Earth and recording how long it takes for them to return, making over 150,000 measurements each second. It can also precisely track changes in surface elevation over time to capture how ice sheets and glaciers are responding to climate change over seasonal and longer-term timescales.

“What’s really exciting about EDGE is the level of detail it will measure. Older laser altimetry measurements sample a coarse grid of points on the ground, but with the EDGE data we will be able to see individual trees around Seattle, and small cracks in glaciers in Greenland and Antarctica. Often, it’s the fine-scale processes that drive how the large-scale system changes,” Smith said.

Although the effort will focus on polar regions, forests and coastlines, EDGE is an “everything mission,” Shean said.

“These precise surface elevation change measurements are essential for so many pressing scientific and engineering applications,” he added. “The EDGE data will have implications for sea level rise, natural hazards monitoring, water resource and forest management, and wildfire response. This is also a major milestone for UW, as it formalizes 91̽��leadership and involvement on not one, but two NASA Earth Observation missions. I’m excited to bring students onto the EDGE team and train the next generation of 91̽��researchers who will do amazing things with EDGE data in the coming decades.”

For more information on STRIVE, contact Jaeglé at jaegle@uw.edu.

Methane is a powerful greenhouse gas with strong heat-trapping capabilities. Although there is less methane in the atmosphere than carbon dioxide, the foremost greenhouse gas, researchers attribute . Observations show that methane levels have increased over time, but the factors driving changes in the rate of accumulation remain unclear.

Methane stays in the atmosphere for approximately 10 years before it is broken down, or removed. Researchers need to know how much methane is removed to gauge what percentage of emissions are accumulating in the atmosphere, but the methane removal process is difficult to measure. Historically, researchers have relied on chemistry-climate simulations to predict methane removal, but the accuracy of this approach is debated.

A new 91̽�� study presents a value for methane removal in the — the second layer of Earth’s atmosphere — that is based on satellite data. This value, the first derived from observational methods, is higher than the earlier models indicated, suggesting that more methane is broken down in the stratosphere than previously thought.

“Total methane emissions and removal are large values. Their difference, or imbalance, is a small, but critical value. It determines methane trends over time,” said , a 91̽��professor of atmospheric and climate science who led the study, on Feb. 9.

Humans are the primary source of . Agriculture, waste and fossil fuels all release methane. Natural sources, such as wetlands, also contribute methane to the atmosphere. Methane “sinks,” including soil and chemical reactions in the atmosphere, remove a large portion of the methane contributed by various sources.

Methane removal takes place in both the troposphere, the closest layer to Earth, and the stratosphere above it. If sources and sinks were balanced, methane wouldn’t accumulate in the atmosphere, but human contributions have .

Methane has become an increasingly popular target for those trying to slow climate change for several reasons. Unlike carbon dioxide, which persists in the atmosphere for hundreds of years, methane breaks down after a decade. Limiting human-related methane emissions could curtail global warming faster than targeting carbon dioxide.

“Methane is a very powerful greenhouse gas with a short lifetime, which gives us more control over it. We will be in a better position, policy-wise, if we understand more about how it accumulates,” Fu said.

There are two ways to calculate methane accumulation in Earth’s atmosphere: One way, a top-down approach, begins with observed methane levels in the atmosphere. The other, a bottom-up strategy, is based on individual sources and sinks on Earth. The trouble is, the two methods don’t agree. Bottom-up calculations indicate that sources exceed sinks by far more than the top-down approach.

In the study, Fu and , a 91̽��graduate student in his lab, analyzed publicly available satellite data from 2007 to 2010 to produce a new value for methane removal in the stratosphere. Then, they recalculated the imbalance using this value instead of the model estimates, finding that the bottom-up and top-down results were close to identical.

“Narrowing it down improved our confidence in the methane budget and imbalance estimates, which determines the change in atmospheric methane levels,” Fu said.

That’s not the only benefit, either. Methane reactions in the stratosphere create water vapor, another greenhouse gas, and impact ozone chemistry, impacting the protective ozone layer. These results will help researchers understand the significance of these related reactions.

This study was funded by the Calvin Professorship in Atmospheric Sciences.

For more information, contact Fu at .