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2015-17 House budget adopted after amendments

On Thursday, the House passed its operating budget proposal () off the floor, with several amendments.

The original tuition and compensation proposals from the remain unaltered, however there some key changes compared to the original bill:

  • Funding for computer science and engineering is reduced by $3.75 million, bringing the biennial total to $4.25 million, rather than $8 million.
  • An additional $1.9 million is provided for the Family Medicine Residency Network, bringing the biennial total to $4.9 million.
  • New funding of $300,000 is provided for the UW鈥檚 Latino Health Center over the biennium.
  • New funding of $400,000 is provided for the Climate Impacts Group in the College of the Environment over the biennium.

Please see our for more information about the original House proposal.

The Senate is expected to vote on its on Monday.

 

2015-17 Senate Chair Operating Budget

On Tuesday, Leadership in the Senate Ways & Means Committee released its operating budget proposal, which makes significant changes to the and differs significantly from听the.听 Under the Senate proposal, the 91探花would receive $674.39 million of Near General Fund State across the biennium.

Here are some of the key points from the Senate Budget proposal:

  • Tuition affordability program 鈥 The Senate budget reduces the operating fee portion of resident undergraduate tuition to 18 percent of the state鈥檚 average wage in FY16 and 14 percent of the state鈥檚 average wage in FY17 onward. It provides $96 million over the biennium to offset the reduction in operating fees, which we believe falls short by $1.2 million in FY16 and $2.8 million in FY17.
  • WWAMI 鈥 The Senate budget provides $1.25 million per year for continued operations of the WWAMI program.
  • O&M Funding 鈥 Like the House budget, the Senate provides $1.762 million over the biennium to cover the operation and maintenance costs of 91探花Bothell Discovery Hall.
  • STEM Investments 鈥 The Senate proposal 听provides $2 million per year to increase bachelor鈥檚 degrees in Science, Technology, engineering and Math fields.
  • Compensation Increase 鈥 The Senate bill rejects state-funded contracts with classified staff. Instead, the Senate Chair budget would fund wage increases at $1,000 per employee and require that the University either renegotiate contracts to match this funding level or locally fund the difference in perpetuity. The Senate budget provides funds for faculty and staff wage increases at $1,000 per employee and allows the 91探花to deviate from this assumption with local funds.

The Senate capital budget is expected to be released next week听.听 For more information, please see the .

 

2015-17 House Chair Operating and Capital Budgets

Leadership in the House Appropriations Committee released their 2015-17 operating budget proposal on Friday – . The proposal provides $3.48 billion of Near General Fund听State听for higher education which is a slight increase over the total higher education appropriations in the Governor’s budget.

On the operating side, the 91探花would receive $595.6 million of Near General Fund State across the biennium 鈥 $95 million more than we听received in 2013-15.

Here are some of the key points from the House听operating budget proposal:

  • Tuition freeze for resident undergraduate students over the biennium.
  • $50 million in biennial funding to offset tuition freeze and fund compensation increases.
  • $8 million in FY17 to support Computer Science engineering enrollment.
  • $3 million in FY17 for additional medical residencies in Washington State.
  • $4.68 million transfer from WSU to the 91探花in both FY16 and FY17 to support the WWAMI program.
  • $1.7 million over the biennium to cover operation and maintenance costs for 91探花Bothell Discovery Hall.
  • $1 million for an ungulate predation study — $600,000 of which would pass through to another state agency.
  • No funding for Climates Impacts Group, although the Governor鈥檚 funding had provided$1 million provided for this purpose.

Overall, the 91探花fared well in the House operating budget compared to the Governor budget.

On the capital side, the 91探花would receive $41.156 million in new funding from the State Building Construction Account. This is significantly less than the Governor鈥檚 proposed budget of $86.2 million, with less funding for the CSE Expansion ($6.033 million of the $40 million requested) and no funding to support the completion of the phased renovation of Lewis Hall. It does however propose a greater amount of funding for the Burke Museum ($26 million), but is still less than the Burke鈥檚 requested $46 million.

The Senate will release its proposed operating and capital budgets in the coming weeks.听 For an analysis and summary of the operating and capital budgets, please review the听.

 

February 2015 State Revenue Forecast Update

General Fund-State (GF-S) has been increased by $107 million for the 2013-2015 biennium and by $129 million for 2015-2017.

  • GF-S revenue for the 2013-2015 biennium is now $33.547 billion (9.4% higher than collections in the 2011-13 biennium) and
  • The forecasted GF-S revenue for the 2015-2017 biennium is now $36.449 billion (8.7% higher than collections in the 2013-15 biennium)

Revenue collections through February 10th were $69 M (1.5%) higher than forecasted. Of this amount, $52 M came from Revenue Act Sources (retail sales, business and occupation, public utility and tobacco products taxes).

A few additional highlights from the update:

  • Oil Prices have declined further since November forecast.
  • Sales tax growth is strong and is driven by sales in construction, autos and building materials.
  • Real estate excise tax since November forecast came in $11 M higher than forecasted.
  • Average monthly increase of 7,000 net new jobs in Washington. Seattle area employment is growing much faster than the rest of the state.

Note: Caseload forecast Council will release their report this afternoon at 1.30PM

 

Governor Inslee’s 2015-17 Operating and Capital Budgets

The Governor released operating and capital budgets yesterday morning. Though the 91探花fared well in the capital budget, we believe the operating budget, as currently proposed, presents challenges. Please note that the Governor鈥檚 budgets will be taken up by the Legislature in January; we are many months away from a final legislative compromise. As usual, we will be sending out budget briefing documents throughout legislative session to keep you updated.

For an analysis and summary of the operating and capital budgets, please review the听.

Updated House and Senate Supplemental Budget Brief

We have updated the听we posted on February 27th, to reflect additional information regarding the employee health insurance related agency reductions. Both the House and Senate budget would decrease agency contributions for employee health benefits. The House budget cuts state funding by $7.6 million and the Senate budget cuts state funding by $4.4 million.听However, both of these reductions are offset by lower per employee spending 鈥渓imits鈥 on benefits. The House budget听would reduce monthly employer funding to $658 per eligible employee. The Senate budget would reduce monthly听employer funding to $703 per eligible employee.

House and Senate Release Supplemental Operating and Capital Budgets

Leadership in both the House and Senate fiscal committees released supplemental operating and capital budgets this week, proposing technical corrections and appropriation changes to the current 2013-15 biennial budgets (primarily applicable to FY15). Please see the full for information on each proposal.

As a reminder, both budgets will be amended in respective committees, and possibly on each chamber floor, before negotiations begin towards a compromise budget.

 

Slight Decline in State Revenue Forecast

Today’s of the November general fund state revenue indicates that current biennial revenue is slightly down from September’s projection. The decline is largely due to a听technical adjustment which resulted in a $41 million decrease of available funding this biennium, though collections for the current biennium are $16 million over听prior projections. The net decrease in November’s revenue forecast听is $24 million less than the September revenue .

In other words,听new revenue and听an offsetting听technical adjustment give Governor Inslee a $32.98 million general fund target for his supplemental operating budget, expected in December.

This forecast, once again, does not contemplate any tax revenue associated with the impending sale of cannabis.

September Revenue Forecast Predicts Continued Gains

It is tempting to copy and paste our post from into this one, as the cites many of the same themes: continued federal budget instability, rising house prices in conjunction with possible interest rate hikes, and likely economic losses in Asia could disrupt the slow recovery currently underway. However, modest regional employment gains, an uptick in real estate excise tax revenue, and positive personal income growth propelled collections and revenue projections $345 million higher than June’s forecast for the current, 2013-15 biennium.

Interestingly, the 2011-13 biennium closed with an estimated positive variance, $23 million higher than the June forecast.

The Governor will base his 2013-15 supplemental budget on the November forecast, so continued revenue growth will be critical. As in June, the
revenue forecast did not include tax collections related to the sale of cannabis.

 

Washington’s June Revenue Forecast Shows Small Improvements

On Tuesday, June 18, the Washington State Economic & Revenue Forecast Council (ERFC) released its quarterly update of General Fund-State (GFS) revenues. Compared听with the , expected GFS revenues are up $110 million for the current biennium (2011-13) and $121 million for the next biennium (2013-15), meaning legislators have an additional $231 million to factor into their budget negotiations.

While these changes are positive, they represent very minor adjustments. Under the updated forecast, the state is expected to take in $30.65 billion in the current biennium and $32.66 billion in the next, thus the increases represent adjustments of less than 0.5 percent each.

Most of the positive variance came from increases in forecasted housing construction, taxable real estate activity, and Revenue Act taxes. Real estate excise taxes came in $34 million (34 percent) higher than forecasted and Revenue Act taxes came in $54 million (2 percent) higher鈥攅xceeding the January 2008 pre-recession peak.听Lower than expected inflation and employment worked against these gains, but weren鈥檛 enough to negate them.听 Although Washington employment has been slowly increasing in most sectors (especially construction), aerospace and government employment are in decline.

It is important to note that much uncertainty surrounds the council鈥檚 2013-15 baseline forecast due to the Federal sequester, Europe鈥檚 recession, and China鈥檚 slowing economic growth. The ERFC gives its baseline a 50 percent probability and its optimistic and pessimistic alternative forecasts 20 percent and 30 percent respectively.听The optimistic forecast is $2.5 billion above the baseline and the pessimistic forecast is $2.5 billion below.

In addition, it should be noted that, like the March forecast, the June update did not assume any revenue from taxable marijuana sales as the Federal Government鈥檚 response to Initiative 502 is still unclear.

Some state lawmakers are optimistic that the new forecast will expedite their budget negotiations; however, the two sides鈥 have a ways to go before the end of the fiscal year on June 30th (12 days from now). 鈥淲e鈥檒l get closer as a result of this,鈥 said Representative Ross Hunter during a press conference Tuesday morning.